But that dominance might be about to change.
After years of growth stocks outperforming the market, some strategists and fund managers think it could be time for value sectors like banks, health care, energy, retail and others that have been laggards to emerge as new market leaders.
“We’re coming out of a multi-year period of extraordinary outperformance from big cap techs. Value stocks have been so inexpensive,” said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer with North Star Investment Management.
“A major rotation is going to take place. When valuations are so out of whack, there has to be a reversion,” Kuby added.
Banks, retailers and energy stocks all look attractive, said David Harden, president of Summit Global Investments. He thinks these three more value-oriented sectors will benefit from a stabilization in the economy in 2021 — especially if there are multiple Covid-19 vaccines available.
Still, some experts say that value stocks and growth industries like tech and biotech can both do well for the foreseeable future. There is no particular reason why the FAANGs have to fall in order for other sectors to do well.
“Value versus growth is the perennial debate,” said Dec Mullarkey, managing director of investment strategy at SLC Management. “The recovery will be broader based because the market rally has been so tech-centric. But I don’t see growth falling out of favor even if value stocks come back.”
That’s why it might make more sense for investors to look for companies that have the characteristics of both value and growth — stocks that trade at reasonable prices but also have the potential to generate solid gains in earnings and revenue.
“We continue to think the rotation to value should be focused on creating a more balanced value/growth portfolio, and not abandoning growth/tech en masse,” said Tom Essaye, editor of The Sevens Report investing newsletter, in a report Tuesday. “Tech also can do well.”
Essaye added that there is “simple logic” for this prediction. “Massive stimulus” could be coming from the incoming Biden administration as well as a continuation of 0% rates from the Federal Reserve.
“The value versus growth question simplifies the market a bit. You want to find durable growth,” said Doug Rao, a portfolio manager with Janus Henderson, in an interview with CNN Business.
“The transformation to a digital economy has been the biggest change for companies in every industry,” Rao said. “You want to look more for companies that are on the right side of that transformation.”
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