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Latin American currencies were mixed
on Tuesday even as the dollar took a beating with voting in the
Latin American currencies were mixed
on Tuesday even as the dollar took a beating with voting in the
U.S. midterm elections underway, while the Brazilian real was
volatile amid political and fiscal concerns.
The Colombian peso led the upward move with a nearly
3% gain, set to notch its best single-day performance in 17
weeks.
Commodity-linked Chile’s peso and Peru’s sol
gained 1.1% and 0.96%, respectively as copper prices rebounded
as worries about supply and a weaker dollar shrugged off
concerns over an upsurge of COVID-19 cases in the world’s top
metals consumer China.
Prices of the red metal also got a boost after Chile’s
Codelco, the world’s biggest copper miner, proposed a 33.3%
increased premium for 2023 supplies to Chinese customers.
Meanwhile, inflation in October slowed to its lowest level
in eight months. That could reinforce Chile’s central bank’s
take that its aggressive monetary tightening cycle has come to
an end.
“There is growing evidence that headline inflation pressures
are easing in parts of emerging markets; Chile is now expected
to cut by a whopping 417 bps in 12 months to prevent the economy
from sliding into a recession–today’s huge disinflation surprise
reinforced this view,” Natalia Gurushina, EM fixed income
economist at VanEck wrote in a note.
Brazil’s real struggled for direction. Fears are
growing of increased fiscal spending by Brazilian
President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Commerzbank analysts
said.
Separately, Brazil’s central bank Monetary Policy Director
stressed that policymakers “have to work” to bring 2024
inflation expectations to the target.
The dollar index edged 0.5% lower. Investors are
betting that Republicans will win control of the House of
Representatives and possibly the Senate, leading to political
gridlock in Washington that could prevent radical policy
changes.
Further, Peru’s finance ministry lowered its economic growth
expectations for 2022 to between 2.7% and 3%, from 3.3% earlier.
Mexican peso fell 0.5%, snapping a five-day gaining
streak. Inflation is expected to have moderated in October but
remaining well above the country’s central bank target, likely
cementing forecasts of another rate hike on Thursday.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 1942 GMT:
Stock indexes Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 900.73 0.38
MSCI LatAm 2305.60 -0.09
Brazil Bovespa 115562.37 0.19
Mexico IPC 50648.83 -0.22
Chile IPSA 5406.12 2.2
Argentina MerVal 147485.63 -0.233
Colombia COLCAP 1239.43 -0.39
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.1565 0.01
Mexico peso 19.5401 -0.51
Chile peso 906 1.06
Colombia peso 4969.25 2.71
Peru sol 3.9022 0.96
Argentina peso (interbank) 159.7100 -0.22
Argentina peso (parallel) 287 1.05
(Reporting by Susan Mathew and Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru;
Editing by Paul Simao and Josie Kao)
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